Economic Growth

Overview

According to the act to promote economic stability and growth, steady and adequate economic growth is one of the key policy objectives. For this reason, the German Council of Economic Experts analyses the growth outlook of the German economy for the next five years and beyond in addition to the current economic situation in each annual report. The German Council of Economic Experts uses dynamic models to estimate future production capacities. The growth projection not only provides information on the level of economic growth, but also on the contribution of different production factors and thus helps in particular to identify structurally adverse trends such as scarce production factors or unfavourable productivity trends.

Recent publications

Working Paper

Alterungsschub und Sozialbeiträge: Simulationen für GKV und Pflegeversicherung

Working Paper 01/2026 by Martin Werding, Anina Harter, Philipp Hauber, Tim Hermann, Lenard P. Holler, Peter Kreß, Theresa Neef, Christian Ochsner, Veronika Püschel, Charlotte Rochell, Benedikt Runschke, Milena Schwarz and Christopher Zuber (Download)

Report

Social insurance under pressure to reform

Spring Report 2026, Chapter 2 (Download)

Working Paper

Output, Prices and Public Debt under the New German Fiscal Consensus

Working Paper 01/2025 by Christian Ochsner and Christopher Zuber (Download)

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Time series download

We offer here relevant time series including economic forecasts.

Economic Growth (XLSX, in German)Additional time series

Contact in the scientific staff